Turner's heave beats buzzer as Buckeyes survive Michigan

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

03/12/2010 - Indianapolis, IN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ohio State star Evan Turner buried a desperation three-pointer with no time on the clock to lift the fifth-ranked Buckeyes to a thrilling 69-68 victory over rival Michigan in the quarterfinals of the 2010 Big Ten Conference Tournament at Conseco Fieldhouse.

Turner's 40-foot shot gave him 18 points on the afternoon, while David Lighty and William Buford both finished with 15 points for the top-seeded Buckeyes (25-7), who kept their hopes for a No. 1 seed in the upcoming NCAA Tournament alive.

Ohio State will play the winner of the Wisconsin/Illinois game scheduled for later Friday.

Manny Harris scored a game-high 26 points, as the Wolverines (15-17) put a dent in their chances for a possible NIT bid. DeShawn Sims and Stu Douglass each netted 16 points in the heart-breaking loss.

A Kyle Madsen dunk early in the second half staked Ohio State to a seemingly comfortable 39-27 advantage. However, the Wolverines clawed back with an 8-0 burst capped on a pair of threes by Douglass for a 39-35 difference. The Buckeyes eventually re-gained their double-digit lead at 48-38 on a Buford jam with less than 12 minutes to go in the contest.

After a Turner three made it 51-38, Michigan scored 16 of the next 23 points to pull within 58-54 on a Sims layup. Buford then made 1-of-2 foul shots on the other end before another Harris three-pointer made it interesting at 59-57 with four minutes remaining in the game.

Michigan cut it to 62-61 on a Harris trey, but a pair of free throws by Turner gave OSU a three-point lead. Douglass would tie the contest at 64-64 with a jumper beyond the arc to get the crowd into the game, while Harris continued to have the hot hand on the other end, scoring on a driving layup for a 66-64 Michigan lead. The Buckeyes then knotted the score on a Lighty jumper.

Harris then knocked down a 15-foot shot with 2.2 seconds left in the game for a 68-66 score, opening the door for Turner's heroics. Turner dribbled down the court and launched a 40-foot three-pointer at the buzzer to win the game. The shot was upheld by the officials after a quick review.

Turner's slashing layup three minutes into the game tied it at 6-6. It stayed that way for several minutes until Sims sank a pair of free throws for an 8-6 Michigan edge. Turner, though, evened the score on a short-range jumper shortly afterwards.

A 6-0 run capped by a Harris dunk gave Michigan a 14-6 lead, while Douglass later knocked down a three-pointer to push the margin to 19-10. The Buckeyes then showed why they're the top-seeded team in this tournament and went on a 22-4 run to claim a 32-23 lead on Turner's three-pointer with less than a minute to go in the first half.

Ohio State then headed to the locker room with a 35-25 cushion. Sims led all scorers at the break with 12 points, while Turner had nine for OSU.

Game Notes

Harris was 8-of-15 from the floor and 3-of-5 from beyond the arc. Harris and Sims both pulled down six rebounds in defeat...Turner dished out eight assists and was a perfect 3-for-3 from downtown...Jon Diebler contributed 11 points for the Buckeyes, who had a 30-18 advantage in the paint and shot 51.9 percent from the floor...Michigan made 49.0 percent of its shots.

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Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.

Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.

Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)

The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.

One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.

Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.

That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.

MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.

"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.

"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."

So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.

In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.

MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.

To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.